LATEST
外 Waitan Ludi Policy Terminal China industrial-policy monitor · updated 2026-10-25

Sector radar / AI and computing

AI and computing rank 5 of 16 (range 2–9 under random weights) · evidence strong · set precision 10/10

Sector brief: what Chinese policy is doing in this sector, how it treats foreign firms, who is named, and what China sells abroad. Every figure links to its documents. Goods: Computers and servers (8471).

Policy momentum +1.37Provincial spread +1.59Money -0.23Local preference -0.34Substitution +1.83Export growth -0.54Exports to EU, growth -0.65EU share -0.15Export / import -0.28EU dependence +0.41
193
Documents, last 24 months
momentum 1.98× · central 29, provincial 119, city 45
29
Provinces active (36 m)
Beijing, Tianjin, Hebei, Shanxi, Inner Mongolia, Liaoning …
76
Documents with money measures
26% of 296
8
Local-preference documents
3% · 5 name foreign-owned firms
$150.7bn
China's exports, 2025
0% a year since 2019
21%
to the EU-27
$32.1bn · 1% a year
51%
China's share of EU imports, 2025
-17 points since 2019 · €40bn
2.3×
Exports per $ imported
imports $65.1bn
0 / 11
Start / end in 12 months
EU countervailing cases held: 0

Next five years: named in 15 of the 15 15th Five-Year Plan outlines held (87.7 mentions per 100k characters), against 7 of 7 14th-plan outlines (17.6): 5.0× as dense; up in 4 and down in 0 of the 4 places with both. Heilongjiang: “全国最大国产化单集群万卡智算中心建成投用,哈尔滨航空集群、绥哈大齐生物制造集群列入国家先进制造业集群,单机容量世界最大的百万千瓦水电机组投…” (outline) Plan watch.

Reading, by audience

Risk and trade policyPolicy output on AI and computing is accelerating relative to the rest of the corpus (193 documents in 24 months, in 29 provinces). China exported $150.7bn of these goods in 2025, +0% a year since 2019; 21% went to the EU-27 (+1% a year). Exports to the EU peaked in 2021 ($40.8bn) and are -21% since, while exports to the world are -26%. From the EU side, China supplied 51% of the EU's imports of these goods from outside the EU in 2025 (-17 points since 2019). In the EU, the gap between the unit value of imports from China and other suppliers' widened from -16% in 2023 to -53% in 2025, while China's volume changed +11% against -5% for the rest: a pointer to price pressure (unit values mix qualities), not a measure of undercutting. No EU countervailing case held on these goods.
Compliance and legal8 of 296 documents (3%) carry a provision or condition that favours local or Chinese firms or production, 5 naming foreign-owned firms as the ones disadvantaged. 0 sector measures come into force and 11 expire in the next 12 months.
Investors76 documents (26%) carry a fiscal or financial support measure. 3 firms are named on lists in these documents. Listed groups report government grants: Sunny Optical RMB 256m (2025).
ResearchSector set: 281 documents whose title names the sector, plus 102 in its topic tree (296 together). Measures and preference are keyword and model screens: leads to check against the text. Momentum is relative to the corpus, which reduces but does not remove the effect of uneven collection.
Topic tree: ai → Exposure check for this sector → Subsidy file (anti-subsidy headings) → Ask the evidence about this sector ↗ All sectors → Subscribe (Atom) JSON Print brief

Documents per year

CentralProvincialCityCounty
0501001501314151617181920212223242526083

Documents held, so collection shapes the curve; the momentum ratio is relative to the corpus.

China's exports, USD bn

WorldEU-27US
$0$50bn$100bn$150bn$200bn$250bn2019202020212022202320242025World $151bnEU-27 $32bn
Headingworldgrowth/yrEU-27EU since 2023share of EU imports
Computers and servers 8471$150.7bn0%$32.1bn 13% 51%

EU price and volume: imports from China €164.23/kg against €350.54/kg from other suppliers in 2025 (-53%; -16% in 2023). Volume since 2023: China 11%, others -5%.

Central → local: who restated the sector's central documents

DateCentral documentprovincesmedian lag
2025-08-21国务院关于深入实施“人工智能+”行动的意见
Opinions of the State Council on the In-depth Implementation of the ‘Artificial Intelligence+’ Initiative
国发〔2025〕11号
1688 d trace →
2023-07-10生成式人工智能服务管理暂行办法
Interim Measures for the Administration of Generative Artificial Intelligence Services
科学技术部令第15号
6961 d trace →
2025-12-25八部门关于印发《“人工智能+制造”专项行动实施意见》的通知
Notice from Eight Ministries on the Issuance of the ‘Implementation Guidelines for the “Artificial Intelligen…
工信部联科〔2025〕279号
5141 d trace →
2025-09-04国家发展改革委 国家能源局关于推进“人工智能+”能源高质量发展的实施意见
Implementation Guidelines of the National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administr…
国能发科技〔2025〕73号
3258 d trace →
2026-04-02教育部等五部门关于印发《“人工智能+教育”行动计划》的通知
Notice from the Ministry of Education and Four Other Departments on the Issuance of the ‘“Artificial Intellig…
教科信〔2026〕1号
2134 d trace →
2024-06-05四部门关于印发国家人工智能产业综合标准化体系建设指南(2024版)的通知
Notice from Four Ministries on the Issuance of the Guidelines for the Construction of the National Comprehens…
工信部联科〔2024〕113号
1145 d trace →
2025-03-07关于印发《人工智能生成合成内容标识办法》的通知
Notice on the Issuance of the ‘Measures for the Labelling of AI-Generated and Synthetic Content’
国信办通字〔2025〕2号
1191 d trace →
2025-12-30工业和信息化部办公厅关于印发《工业互联网和人工智能融合赋能行动方案》的通知
Notice from the General Office of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology on the Issuance of the …
工信厅信管〔2025〕76号
1122 d trace →

Across all State Council directives the median lag to a province's implementing document is about 151 days (middle half 84–259).

Where in China

Provincedocuments (36 m)leanswith moneyfavouringlocal-only programmes
Shanghai31×1.4110 15% of 620 exposure →
Beijing19×1.791 13% of 100 exposure →
Sichuan17×1.310 8% of 451 exposure →
Zhejiang13×1.420 3% of 417 exposure →
Fujian10×1.571 2% of 199 exposure →
Inner Mongolia9×0.920 1% of 154 exposure →
Anhui8×1.630 0% of 26 exposure →
Hubei8×0.940 7% of 266 exposure →
Shandong7×1.511 4% of 169 exposure →
Yunnan6×2.130 3% of 96 exposure →
Guangdong5×0.121 0% of 67 exposure →
Shaanxi5×0.900 2% of 265 exposure →

Latest central documents

2026-09-02工业和信息化部关于印发《“人工智能+软件”专项行动实施方案》的通知
Notice from the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology on the Issuance of the ‘Implementation Plan f…
工信部信发〔2026〕209号
2026-07-03美国解除对Claude Fable 5和Mythos 5人工智能模型的出口管制
The US has lifted export controls on the Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 artificial intelligence models
2026-06-22关于加快推进“人工智能+人社”应用发展的实施意见
Implementation Guidelines on Accelerating the Development of ‘Artificial Intelligence + Human Resources and S…
人社部发〔2026〕40号
2026-06-22人力资源社会保障部 国家发展改革委 工业和信息化部 国家数据局 关于加快推进“人工智能+人社” 应用发展的实施意见
Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Indu…
2026-06-09商务部等8部门关于加快“人工智能+消费”发展的实施意见
Implementation Guidelines on Accelerating the Development of ‘Artificial Intelligence + Consumption’ Issued b…
2026-06-03工业和信息化部关于印发《“人工智能+信息通信”创新发展实施意见(2026—2028年)》的通知
Notice from the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology on the Issuance of the ‘Implementation Opinio…
工信部通信〔2026〕121号
2026-04-28工信部启动人工智能科技伦理审查与服务先导计划 加快推动审查工作落地实施
Document · 工业和信息化部科技司
工信厅科函〔2026〕199号
2026-04-08国家发展改革委 国家能源局 工业和信息化部 国家数据局印发《关于促进人工智能与能源双向赋能的行动方案》的通知
Notice from the National Development and Reform Commission, the National Energy Administration, the Ministry …
国能发科技〔2026〕34号

Latest local documents

2026-10-08重庆市人民政府办公厅关于印发《重庆市推动人工智能赋能人力资源服务业高质量发展若干措施》的通知
Notice from the General Office of the Chongqing Municipal People’s Government on the Issuance of the ‘Several…
重庆市政府办公厅
2026-09-18北京市广播电视局关于印发《北京市促进“人工智能+视听”产业高质量发展重点项目支持管理办法 (2026—2029年)》的通知
Notice from the Beijing Municipal Bureau of Radio, Film and Television on the Issuance of the ‘Measures for t…
Beijing Municipal Bureau of Radio and Television
2026-09-17北京市经济和信息化局关于组织开展北京市人工智能应用服务商资源池征集工作的通知
notice · Beijing Municipal Bureau of Economy and Information Technology
2026-09-16事关人工智能+交通运输,一图读懂→
Document · Guangdong Provincial Department of Transport
2026-09-14人工智能OPC(一人公司)创业指引
A Guide to Starting an AI OPC (One-Person Company)
Foshan Shunde District Administration for Market Regulation
2026-09-08关于印发《四川省推进算力网建设的若干政策措施(试行)》的通知(川发改数据〔2026〕338号)
Notice on the Issuance of the ‘Several Policy Measures for Promoting the Construction of the Computing Power …
四川省数字科技与基础设施建设处
2026-09-03惠城区AI算力应用运营服务项目评审结果公告
announcement · Huizhou Huicheng District Bureau of Government Services and Data Management
2026-08-26惠城区AI算力应用运营服务项目采购询价公告
Invitation to Quote for the Huicheng District AI Computing Power Application and Operations Service Project
Huizhou Huicheng District Bureau of Government Services and Data Management
2026-08-25关于组织开展山东省人工智能终端财政奖补资金申报工作的通知
notice · Shandong Provincial Department of Finance
2026-08-14云南省教育厅等五部门关于印发云南省“人工智能+教育”行动方案的通知
notice issuing an action plan · Yunnan Provincial People's Government

Measures

MeasureGroupFoundchecked precision
Capital grantFiscal and financial support6470%
Vouchers for firmsFiscal and financial support29not checked
Tax reliefFiscal and financial support1080%
Purchase subsidyFiscal and financial support880%
Interest subsidyFiscal and financial support890%
Guidance fund / state equityFiscal and financial support550%
Operating subsidyFiscal and financial support4not checked
Local registration conditionLocalisation conditions360%
Credit guaranteeFiscal and financial support390%
First-of-a-kind supportFiscal and financial support2100%

Precision from the Data page: samples of ten, checked by the AI assistant; a human-coded sample is still to come.

Money on the table

重庆市人民政府办公厅关于印发《重庆市推动人工智能赋能人力资源服务业高质量发展若干措施》的通知 2026-10-08 · Capital grant
统一搭建人力资源数据治理与开发平台,推动公共数据开发利用,对承接国家计划任务的数据基础设施项目依法依规给予最高100万元资金支持。
北京市广播电视局关于印发《北京市促进“人工智能+视听”产业高质量发展重点项目支持管理办法 (2026—2029年)》的… 2026-09-18 · Capital grant
支持金额:依照技术先进性和应用效果等进行评审,单个项目支持金额最高不超过300万元。
人工智能OPC(一人公司)创业指引 2026-09-14 · Capital grant
招用3人(含3人)以下的按每人2000元给予补贴;
关于印发《四川省推进算力网建设的若干政策措施(试行)》的通知(川发改数据〔2026〕338号) 2026-09-08 · Capital grant
支持建设算力调度平台、算力超市、词元(Token)工厂等算力公共服务设施,省级预算内基本建设投资按照项目核定总投资的15%给予支持,单个项目支持额度不超过1000万元。
上海市经济和信息化委员会关于印发《上海市进一步推动“AI+制造”发展的若干措施》的通知 2026-07-17 · Capital grant
支持租用非关联方智能算力资源开展工业大模型、工业智能体研发与应用,最高给予4000万元补贴。
北京经济技术开发区信息技术产业局关于开展2026年上半年人工智能“模型券”申报的通知 2026-06-25 · Capital grant
(二)申报主体在2025年8月9日至2026年6月30日期间内实际发生并使用模型服务的结算费用,给予最高50%的补贴,超过执行期限的部分,不作为人工智能“模型券”支持额度的核定依据。

Rules that favour local or Chinese firms

ProvisionHowDisadvantages
“1.创业主体属于在我省登记注册3年内的小微企业、个体工商户、社会组织、律师事务所、会计师事务所和农民专业合作社,其法定代表人、经营者、理事长(会长、秘书长)、负责人、首席合伙人属于创业重点扶持对象。” Local registration / taxother regions
“拥有至少1项与申报产品核心技术相关的自主知识产权(如专利、软件著作权)或授权许可,知识产权权属明晰、无纠纷。” Ownership, own-brand or own-IP testforeign-owned firms
“对企业研发生产,并在本市实现规模化应用的具有自主知识产权的人工智能硬件新产品(与入选国家级或省级不重复)给予奖励,单个产品所获奖励最高不超过50万元,每年奖励的产品最多不超过6个。” Ownership, own-brand or own-IP testforeign-owned firms
“对拥有自主知识产权、技术先进且已实现首次商业化应用的人工智能软件,按其销售情况给予最高200万元奖励。” Ownership, own-brand or own-IP testforeign-owned firms
“五、广东省落实《广东省推动人工智能与机器人产业创新发展若干政策措施》(粤府办〔2025〕6号),支持揭榜挂帅入围单位和项目在广东落地,对在本地注册、具有独立法人资格的单位,给予关键核心技术攻关、优质企业培育、产业投融资服务等工作支持。” Local registration / taxother regions
“支持企业基于企业技术中心,围绕生产制造全流程搭建实验场景,推动模型嵌入部署和软硬件适配开发,形成具有自主知识产权的智能化产品及行业解决方案,对成效显著的市级企业技术中心优先推荐为国家级企业技术中心,将人工智能能力作为新设企业技术中心的重要参考。” Ownership, own-brand or own-IP testforeign-owned firms

Keyword and model screens: leads to check against the document, not findings. Newest first, one per document.

Coming into force (12 months)

No in-force date in the next 12 months.

Expiring (12 months)

2026-12-31关于印发《青岛市支持人工智能和具身智能机器人产业发展政策清单(第一批)》的通知 青岛市高新区
2026-12-31泉州市人民政府办公室关于印发泉州市支持人工智能产业发展若干措施的通知 Quanzhou Municipal People's Government
2026-12-31漳州市人民政府办公室关于印发《漳州市培育扶持人工智能产业若干措施》的通知 Zhangzhou Municipal People's Government
2026-12-31山西省人民政府办公厅关于印发山西省促进先进算力与人工智能融合发展若干措施的通知 Shanxi Provincial People's Government
2026-12-31福州市人民政府办公厅关于印发福州市促进人工智能产业创新发展行动方案(2024—2026年)的通知 Fuzhou Municipal Bureau of Science and …
2026-12-31杭州市人民政府办公厅关于加快推进人工智能产业创新发展的实施意见 Hangzhou Municipal People's Government
2027-03-16青海省发展和改革委员会关于中国联合网络通信有限公司青海省分公司2024年中国联通青海三江源绿电智算中心(三期)项目节能审查的批复 Qinghai Provincial Development and Refo…
2027-03-16青海省发展和改革委员会关于青海智算技术有限公司青海德令哈智算中心项目节能审查的批复 Qinghai Provincial Development and Refo…
2027-03-16青海省发展和改革委员会关于青海科恒电子工程有限公司青海省海南州大数据产业园科恒绿色智算中心项目节能审查的批复 Qinghai Provincial Development and Refo…
2027-03-16青海省发展和改革委员会关于海西天防科技有限公司海西天防绿色智算中心万卡项目节能审查的批复 Qinghai Provincial Development and Refo…
2027-03-19市人民政府关于印发武汉市促进人工智能产业发展若干政策措施的通知 General Office of the Wuhan Municipal P…

Firms named most often

Listed groups: reported government grants

GroupYearRMB m
Sunny Optical 02382.HK2025257

From the annual report's notes, page linked; unreviewed.

Market12-month changeMSCI China
KWEB-37%-18%
CQQQ-24%-18%

Prices to 2026-10-14. Context, not a signal: see Insights → Markets for what publication does and does not move.

How this sector is defined

281 documents whose title matches 人工智能|算力|大模型|智算|AI\+|“AI, plus 102 in the topic tree ai; 296 together. Goods: HS 8471. Measures and preference provisions are screen output; open each document for the clause.