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外 Waitan Ludi Policy Terminal China industrial-policy monitor · updated 2026-10-25

Sector radar / Semiconductors

Semiconductors rank 7 of 16 (range 4–14 under random weights) · evidence moderate · set precision 9/10

Sector brief: what Chinese policy is doing in this sector, how it treats foreign firms, who is named, and what China sells abroad. Every figure links to its documents. Goods: Integrated circuits (8542) and chip-making equipment (8486).

Policy momentum -0.28Provincial spread -0.47Money +0.81Local preference +2.17Substitution +1.32Export growth -0.08Exports to EU, growth -0.35EU share -1.77Export / import -0.97EU dependence -0.80
34
Documents, last 24 months
momentum 0.73× · central 14, provincial 15, city 5
11
Provinces active (36 m)
Beijing, Shanghai, Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Anhui, Fujian …
56
Documents with money measures
44% of 126
16
Local-preference documents
13% · 9 name foreign-owned firms
$208.4bn
China's exports, 2025
12% a year since 2019
2%
to the EU-27
$3.1bn · 8% a year
10%
China's share of EU imports, 2025
1 points since 2019 · €5bn
0.4×
Exports per $ imported
imports $475.7bn
0 / 4
Start / end in 12 months
EU countervailing cases held: 0

EU target: European Chips Act, Regulation (EU) 2023/1781: aims to strengthen EU semiconductor manufacturing capacity (the Digital Decade target: 20% of world production by value by 2030). China supplies 10% of the EU's imports of these goods from outside the EU (2025; imports, not consumption).

Next five years: named in 14 of the 15 15th Five-Year Plan outlines held (14.9 mentions per 100k characters), against 6 of 7 14th-plan outlines (12.0): 1.2× as dense; up in 2 and down in 2 of the 4 places with both. Xi'an: “…组群发展的产业链群,着力打造万亿级先进制造业集群,加快推动西安航空集群等国家级先进制造业集群向世界级跃升,推动半导体及光子、新能源汽车等建设国家级先进制造业集群,推动产业迈向中高端,提升产业链供应链韧性和安全水平。” (outline) Plan watch.

Reading, by audience

Risk and trade policyPolicy output on semiconductors is slowing relative to the rest of the corpus (34 documents in 24 months, in 11 provinces). China exported $208.4bn of these goods in 2025, +12% a year since 2019; 2% went to the EU-27 (+8% a year). Exports to the EU peaked in 2022 ($3.9bn) and are -20% since, while exports to the world are +31%: the EU share is falling as sales go elsewhere. From the EU side, China supplied 10% of the EU's imports of these goods from outside the EU in 2025 (+1 points since 2019). In the EU, the gap between the unit value of imports from China and other suppliers' widened from -46% in 2023 to -55% in 2025, while China's volume changed +1% against -27% for the rest: a pointer to price pressure (unit values mix qualities), not a measure of undercutting. No EU countervailing case held on these goods.
Compliance and legal16 of 126 documents (13%) carry a provision or condition that favours local or Chinese firms or production, 9 naming foreign-owned firms as the ones disadvantaged. 0 sector measures come into force and 4 expire in the next 12 months.
Investors56 documents (44%) carry a fiscal or financial support measure. 60 firms are named on lists in these documents.
ResearchSector set: 106 documents whose title names the sector, plus 48 in its topic tree (126 together). Measures and preference are keyword and model screens: leads to check against the text. Momentum is relative to the corpus, which reduces but does not remove the effect of uneven collection.
Topic tree: semis → Exposure check for this sector → Subsidy file (anti-subsidy headings) → Ask the evidence about this sector ↗ All sectors → Subscribe (Atom) JSON Print brief

Documents per year

CentralProvincialCityCounty
051015201314151617181920212223242526413

Documents held, so collection shapes the curve; the momentum ratio is relative to the corpus.

China's exports, USD bn

WorldEU-27US
$0$50bn$100bn$150bn$200bn$250bn2019202020212022202320242025World $208bnEU-27 $3.1bn
Headingworldgrowth/yrEU-27EU since 2023share of EU imports
Integrated circuits 8542$202.7bn12%$2.9bn -15% 12%
Chip-making equipment 8486$5.7bn17%$201m 17% 2%

EU price and volume: imports from China €573.99/kg against €1285.87/kg from other suppliers in 2025 (-55%; -46% in 2023). Volume since 2023: China 1%, others -27%.

Central → local: who restated the sector's central documents

DateCentral documentprovincesmedian lag
2023-09-12关于提高集成电路和工业母机企业研发费用加计扣除比例的公告
Announcement on Increasing the Rate of Additional Tax Deduction for Research and Development Expenditure of I…
财政部公告2023年第44号
4561 d trace →
2021-04-22中华人民共和国工业和信息化部 国家发展改革委 财政部 国家税务总局公告(2021年第9号)
Announcement (No. 9 of 2021) by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the National Development…
工业和信息化部公告2021年第9号
31096 d trace →
2021-04-23中华人民共和国工业和信息化部 国家发展改革委 财政部 国家税务总局公告2021年第10号
Announcement No. 10 of 2021 issued by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology of the People’s Rep…
工业和信息化部公告2021年第10号
3581 d trace →
2020-12-11关于促进集成电路产业和软件产业高质量发展企业所得税政策的公告
Announcement on Corporate Income Tax Policies to Promote the High-Quality Development of the Integrated Circu…
财政部公告2020年第45号
11974 d trace →
2022-03-14关于做好2022年享受税收优惠政策的集成电路企业或项目、软件企业清单制定工作有关要求的通知
Notice on the Requirements for Compiling the List of Integrated Circuit Enterprises or Projects and Software …
发改高技〔2022〕390号
11 d trace →
2023-08-28关于2023年度享受增值税加计抵减政策的集成电路企业清单制定工作有关要求的通知
Notice on the Requirements for Compiling the List of Integrated Circuit Enterprises Eligible for the Value-Ad…
工信部联电子函〔2023〕228号
1238 d trace →
2024-03-21关于做好2024年享受税收优惠政策的集成电路企业或项目、软件企业清单制定工作有关要求的通知
Notice on the Requirements for Compiling the List of Integrated Circuit Enterprises or Projects and Software …
发改高技〔2024〕351号
132 d trace →
2025-11-20商务部新闻发言人就安世半导体相关问题答记者问
Spokesperson for the Ministry of Commerce Answers Journalists’ Questions on Issues Relating to Nexperia
0none held trace →

Across all State Council directives the median lag to a province's implementing document is about 151 days (middle half 84–259).

Where in China

Provincedocuments (36 m)leanswith moneyfavouringlocal-only programmes
Shanghai8×2.352 15% of 620 exposure →
Guangdong5×0.700 0% of 67 exposure →
Zhejiang4×2.700 3% of 417 exposure →
Anhui3×3.700 0% of 26 exposure →
Fujian2–10 2% of 199 exposure →
Chongqing2–21 0% of 67 exposure →
Beijing1–10 13% of 100 exposure →
Hubei1–00 7% of 266 exposure →
Shaanxi1–00 2% of 265 exposure →
Shandong1–00 4% of 169 exposure →
Jiangsu1–10 6% of 141 exposure →

Latest central documents

2026-07-23集成电路布图设计保护条例
Regulations on the Protection of Integrated Circuit Layout Designs
国务院令第842号
2026-02-13美国半导体设备巨头对华“违规”出口被顶格重罚2.52亿美元
US semiconductor equipment giant fined the maximum penalty of US$252 million for ‘illegal’ exports to China
2025-11-20商务部新闻发言人就安世半导体相关问题答记者问
Spokesperson for the Ministry of Commerce Answers Journalists’ Questions on Issues Relating to Nexperia
2025-11-20商务部新闻发言人就荷经济大臣卡雷曼斯就安世半导体问题表态答记者问
Spokesperson for the Ministry of Commerce Answers Journalists’ Questions Regarding Dutch Minister for Economi…
2025-11-11商务部新闻发言人就欧方关于安世半导体问题的声明答记者问
Spokesperson for the Ministry of Commerce Answers Journalists’ Questions on the EU’s Statement Regarding Nexp…
2025-11-11商务部新闻发言人就安世半导体问题答记者问
Spokesperson for the Ministry of Commerce Answers Journalists’ Questions on the Nexperia Semiconductor Issue
2025-11-04商务部新闻发言人就安世半导体相关问题应询答记者问
Spokesperson for the Ministry of Commerce Answers Journalists’ Questions on Issues Relating to Nexperia
2025-09-16四部门关于开展2025年度享受增值税加计抵减政策的集成电路企业清单制定工作的通知
Notice from Four Departments on the Compilation of the List of Integrated Circuit Enterprises Eligible for th…
工信部联电子函〔2025〕234号

Latest local documents

2026-10-09《池州市人民政府办公室关于印发池州市支持半导体产业创新发展若干政策的通知》动漫解读
Document · Anhui Provincial People's Government
2026-10-09《合肥市人民政府办公室关于印发合肥市加快推进集成电路产业发展若干政策的通知》文字解读
Document · Anhui Provincial People's Government
2026-09-03第二十一届中博会集成电路展盛大开幕
Document · Guangdong Provincial Department of Industry and Information Technology
2026-07-02广东省科学技术厅关于开展“集成电路前沿技术与产业化”科技成果对接活动的通知
notice · Guangdong Provincial Department of Science and Technology
2026-06-26关于公示2026年第二期上海市集成电路布图设计登记资助名单的通知
notice · Shanghai Municipal Bureau of Intellectual Property
2026-05-19广东省生态环境厅关于惠州市宏裕晟环境科技有限公司等企业危险废物跨省转移事项的批复 [ 崇辉半导体(江门)有限公司 ]
Document · Guangdong Provincial Department of Ecology and Environment
2026-05-09“广货行天下”夏季行动半导体产业B2B专场对接活动在江门成功举办
Document · Guangdong Provincial Department of Industry and Information Technology
2026-05-08北京市经济和信息化局关于2026年北京市集成电路和软件企业享受税收优惠政策有关事项的通知
Notice from the Beijing Municipal Bureau of Economy and Information Technology on Matters Relating to Tax Inc…
Beijing Municipal Bureau of Economy and Information Technology
2026-04-30西安市人民政府办公厅关于印发促进半导体及光子产业高质量发展实施方案的通知
notice issuing an implementation plan · General Office of the Xi'an Municipal People's Government
2026-04-10关于做好我省2026年享受税收优惠政策的集成电路企业或项目、软件企业清单推荐工作的通知
notice · 山东省发展和改革委员会山东省工业和信息化厅

Measures

MeasureGroupFoundchecked precision
Tax reliefFiscal and financial support3380%
Capital grantFiscal and financial support2870%
Interest subsidyFiscal and financial support790%
Guidance fund / state equityFiscal and financial support450%
Purchase subsidyFiscal and financial support480%
Local registration conditionLocalisation conditions460%
Import duty relief on inputsTrade and foreign investment3not checked
Policy lendingFiscal and financial support3not checked
Local content conditionLocalisation conditions330%
Credit guaranteeFiscal and financial support390%

Precision from the Data page: samples of ten, checked by the AI assistant; a human-coded sample is still to come.

Money on the table

北京市经济和信息化局关于2026年北京市集成电路和软件企业享受税收优惠政策有关事项的通知 2026-05-08 · Tax relief
享受2026年北京市集成电路和软件企业所得税优惠政策的企业,请联系主管税务机关提交资料。
四部门关于开展2025年度享受增值税加计抵减政策的集成电路企业清单制定工作的通知 2025-09-16 · Tax relief
工业和信息化部 国家发展改革委 财政部 税务总局关于开展2025年度享受增值税加计抵减政策的集成电路企业清单制定工作的通知
上海市经济信息化委关于开展申报2024年度上海市集成电路和软件企业核心团队专项奖励的通知 2025-05-21 · Tax relief
4.享受企业所得税优惠政策的软件和集成电路企业备案资料明细表
关于做好2025年享受税收优惠政策的集成电路企业或项目、软件企业清单制定工作的通知 2025-03-27 · Tax relief
申请享受《若干政策》第(一)、(三)、(六)、(七)条提及的税收优惠政策,财关税〔2021〕4号文提及的关税优惠政策,以及《公告》提及的研发费用加计扣除政策的,可于汇算清缴结束前,从信息填报系统中查询是否列入清单。
关于印发《普陀区加快发展集成电路产业实施意见》的通知 2024-12-20 · Guidance fund / state equity
对成立五年以内的集成电路设计企业,成功获得专业投资机构投资并在一年内提出申请的,可按投资金额最高的单个非政府性质的专业投资机构实际到位股权投资资金的10%以内比例,给予最高不超过300万元的一次性资助。
关于印发《嘉定区关于支持集成电路产业发展的若干政策》的通知 2024-10-30 · Capital grant
对企业开展集成电路高端通用器件、关键设备、核心材料、先进工艺等技术研发和产品攻关,填补国内核心技术空白的重点技术研发项目,经认定后按其研发投入的30%给予奖励,最高不超过500万元。

Rules that favour local or Chinese firms

ProvisionHowDisadvantages
“(二)在本市注册成立两年以上(新引进企业除外),依法纳税,信用记录良好;” Local registration / taxother regions
“(二)在本市注册成立两年以上(新引进企业除外),依法纳税,信用记录良好;” Local registration / taxother regions
“鼓励有条件的区县对拥有自主知识产权、年度营收首次有较大突破的集成电路设计企业给予一定奖励。” Ownership, own-brand or own-IP testforeign-owned firms
“5.企业申报销售奖励政策的,所申报产品应为企业新研发的成果并已取得对应的知识产权(芯片须取得集成电路布图设计登记证书,其他产品须拥有自主知识产权)。” Ownership, own-brand or own-IP testforeign-owned firms
“对关键技术自主研发并取得自主知识产权的纯软件型基础软件、工业软件和“付费订阅”模式软件服务(SaaS),按该软件年度对应业务收入的5%给予补贴,每家企业每年最高不超过200万元。” Ownership, own-brand or own-IP testforeign-owned firms
“鼓励本市国有企业、事业单位优先采用纳入国家和本市重点目录的基础软件、工业软件和信息安全软件。” SOE or private-firm preferenceprivate firms

Keyword and model screens: leads to check against the document, not findings. Newest first, one per document.

Coming into force (12 months)

No in-force date in the next 12 months.

Expiring (12 months)

Firms named most often

Listed groups: reported government grants

No listed group in this sector with HKEX grants extracted.

How this sector is defined

106 documents whose title matches 集成电路|芯片|半导体, plus 48 in the topic tree semis; 126 together. Goods: HS 8542, 8486. Measures and preference provisions are screen output; open each document for the clause.