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How Chinese industrial policy travels from the State Council to provinces and cities, which documents favour domestic firms, and what is coming next.
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Local evidence mode
Three findings. Follow each back to the original record.
A nine-firm ledger exposes the difference. Historical evaluator figures for a mixed-sector 2023 round—not a current unpaid balance.
2024 evaluation · Annex 4, p.94Reconcile the ledger ↗ CHARGING · TENDER TERMS50% / 10%Two advance clauses use different bases. Read the exclusions before comparing the projects. Tender terms, not observed payments.
Guangde p.77 · Ningguo p.75Open the clauses ↗ MACHINE TOOLS · TAICANGTwo dates.The contract cover and portal record disagree on the signing date. Inspect both versions before relying on the chronology.
23 August / 5 September 2025Inspect the discrepancy ↗The latest State Council and ministry documents held, and the latest local documents that implement central policy.
| Central | Document | |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-13 | 商务部等9部门关于加快推进科技兴商的意见 | 商建函〔2026〕551号 |
| 2026-10-12 | 国家发展改革委 民政部 国家卫生健康委关于进一步完善价格形成机制 推动普惠养老服务提质扩面的指导意见 | 发改价格〔2026〕1476号 |
| 2026-10-09 | 中共中央 国务院关于发展新质生产力的意见 | State Council |
| 2026-09-30 | 国家知识产权局关于加强知识产权公共服务体系建设的意见 | 国知发服字〔2026〕29号 |
| 2026-09-29 | 交通运输部 工业和信息化部 国家能源局关于印发《内河新能源船舶推广应用行动方案（2026—2030年）》的通知 | 交水发〔2026〕127号 |
| 2026-09-28 | 交通运输部等十二部门关于印发《推动多式联运高质量发展 优化调整运输结构攻坚行动方案（2026－2030年）》的通知 | 交通运输部 |
| 2026-09-25 | 国务院办公厅关于发展体育赛事激发消费活力的意见 | 国办发〔2026〕28号 |
| 2026-09-24 | 住房城乡建设部办公厅等关于印发《城镇供热“温暖工程”三年行动方案（2026—2028年）》的通知 | 建办城函〔2026〕239号 |
| Local | Document → what it implements | Province |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-20 | 贵州省健康医药产业高质量发展实施方案（2026-2030年）（征求意见
→ 工业和信息化部等七部门关于印发《医药工业数智化转型实施方案（2025—2030年）》的通知 工信部联消费〔2025〕79号 |
Guizhou |
| 2026-10-20 | 关于申报新能源汽车充换电设施建设财政奖补资金的通知
→ 国务院办公厅关于进一步构建高质量充电基础设施体系的指导意见 国办发〔2023〕19号 |
Jiangsu |
| 2026-10-16 | 关于印发《长沙住房公积金信用评级评价管理办法》的通知
→ 国务院办公厅关于加快推进社会信用体系建设构建以信用为基础的新型监管机制的指导意见 国办发〔2019〕35号 |
Hunan |
| 2026-10-13 | 湖南省人民政府办公厅关于印发《湖南省煤矿“三个一批”分类处置总体方案》的通知
→ 国务院关于煤炭行业化解过剩产能实现脱困发展的意见 国发〔2016〕7号 |
Hunan |
| 2026-10-13 | 宁夏回族自治区人民政府办公厅关于加强基层消防工作的实施意见
→ 国务院办公厅关于加强基层消防工作的意见 国办发〔2026〕6号 |
Ningxia |
| 2026-10-13 | 宁夏回族自治区人民政府办公厅关于印发《宁夏回族自治区全域消防安全监管实施办法（试行）》的通知
→ 国务院办公厅关于加强基层消防工作的意见 国办发〔2026〕6号 |
Ningxia |
| 2026-10-09 | 北京市经济和信息化局 北京市卫生健康委员会等部门关于开展2026年高端医疗装备推广应用项目申报工作的通知
→ 医疗器械监督管理条例 国务院令第739号 |
Beijing |
| 2026-10-09 | 包头市人民政府办公室关于进一步加强矿区生态修复监管工作的通知
→ 中华人民共和国矿产资源法实施条例 国务院令第839号 |
Inner Mongolia |
Documents held per province (lighter = more). All provinces →
Most active first: documents added in the last twelve months. Bars: documents per year over ten years, this year in blue. Open a tree for its summary, China's stance and the evidence.
Large-scale equipment renewal and consumer-goods trade-in subsidies (2024–).
Artificial intelligence, computing infrastructure and data centres.
Medical-device regulation and review reform, high-value consumables, the medical-equipment industry.
Public procurement rules, the 2026 domestic-product standard and its price preference.
Central rules against local protection: fair-competition review, market access, investment-incentive discipline.
Building and operating EV charging and battery-swap networks.
Drones, eVTOL and general aviation: airspace rules, industrial support, local pilot zones.
Unmanned aircraft: flight rules, airworthiness, industrial support, export controls and countermeasures.
Fuel-cell vehicle demonstration city clusters and hydrogen industry support.
Promotion of NEV production and uptake: purchase subsidies, tax relief, industrial plans.
Drug review reform, generics, volume-based procurement, innovative drugs and traditional Chinese medicine.
Capacity cuts and the campaign against below-cost "involuted" competition.
Rare earths and strategic minerals: extraction, quotas, and dual-use export control.
The tiered cultivation of "specialised, refined, distinctive and novel" SMEs and little giants: recognition, finance and named-firm lists.
Entry rules, negative lists, incentives and treatment of foreign-invested firms.
Boosting household and services consumption (trade-in has its own topic).
Data-element markets, public-data authorisation, data industry and cross-border data rules.
Photovoltaic manufacturing and generation: tariffs, subsidies, grid parity.
Battery and other non-pumped storage: deployment targets, market access, manufacturing.
Machine-tool industry support: R&D super-deduction and VAT credits for listed firms, demand matching.
Integrated-circuit and software industry support, chiefly tax and finance.
Advanced and frontier materials: industry guides, first-batch application insurance, pilot platforms.
Major technical equipment: first-unit insurance compensation, procurement access, guidance catalogues.
Industrial, service and humanoid robots; embodied intelligence.
Frontier sectors: biomanufacturing, quantum, 6G, commercial space, brain-computer interfaces.
Crop and livestock breeding, the seed industry revitalisation drive and seed-market rules.
The bioeconomy plan and biomanufacturing pilot platforms.
Shipbuilding restructuring, green shipbuilding and offshore engineering equipment.
The commercial aircraft and aero-engine industry, chiefly tax support.
Documents gov.cn news says were approved, are being drafted, or were issued, and which the corpus does not yet hold. Full horizon scan →
| Stage | Document | First seen |
|---|---|---|
| Approved, due out | 《国务院关于修改〈住房公积金管理条例〉的决定（草案）》 | 2026-07-31 |
| Approved, due out | 《国务院关于修改和废止部分行政法规的决定（草案）》 | 2026-10-16 |
| Approved, due out | 《事业单位登记管理条例（草案）》 | 2026-09-28 |
| Approved, due out | 《中医药传统知识保护条例（草案）》 | 2026-09-18 |
| Approved, due out | 《基金会管理条例（修订草案）》 | 2026-09-11 |
| Approved, due out | 《电力安全事故应急处置和调查处理条例（修订草案）》 | 2026-08-21 |
Findings written up from the corpus. All reports →
| Briefing note: China's industrial-policy machine Five findings in two pages: substitution, trade, Switzerland, transmission, the 15th plan. |
| NEV subsidies by firm ownership Claims against approvals in MIIT's settlement rounds, 2016–2019, and why claims were cut. |
| Local protection under central bans Hand-reviewed cases where local rules contradict central bans on local protection. |
| Implementation lag How long local governments take to cite and act on central policy. |
| Who may apply: local-registration conditions Eligibility clauses that admit only locally registered applicants: the screen, its hand check (56/60) and the rates by level. |
| Do provinces still copy State Council directives? Share of each directive copied into its provincial restatement, 2013–26 (exploratory): rising to 2018, lower in 2025–26 on few documents. |
| Compliance screen Keyword-screen leads: local documents below central bans on local protection. |
| Policies that name firms Firm lists in policy documents: who is listed, for what, by ownership. |
| Horizon scan Trending terms, tree activity and announced documents from gov.cn news. |
| Pre-analysis plan: provincial responsiveness How the responsiveness decline was re-tested: estimands, rival explanations, decision rules, deviations. |
| Results: provincial responsiveness The pre-registered test: the decline is not statistically established (0.61, 0.28–1.07). |
| Documents cited but not held The crawl frontier: what the corpus cites and does not yet hold. |